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Weekly Quotes | Duck farming industry drives up feather prices, making it difficult for down jacket manufacturers to purchase down feathers

2023-04-09 来源：金绒浏览量：1865

summary

The overall market has remained stable this week, with the price of gray goose down slightly increasing.

Due to seasonal factors and breeding time, the down content of raw wool has decreased by about 1%, leading to an increase in production costs for down factories. At the same time, the goose farm hopes to increase prices before the Qingming Festival, reducing the number of goose raw materials on the market. However, holiday consumption is not as expected, and the current pressure on retail goose farms is loose, and the scale of goose sales may rebound.

Clothing companies do not accept the current high price of down, resulting in poor sales of down. However, the duck factory still maintains a strong price stance, indicating significant operational pressure, which is also the reason why feather production factories are currently hesitant to accept large orders at low prices.

On April 2, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) announced production reduction, and international oil prices rose sharply. This move will affect inflation expectations in European and American markets, raise doubts about financial stability, and even trigger sustained social unrest, and inhibit the global economic recovery process, thereby affecting China's exports.

Monday: The price of gray goose down rose

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.8805

Tuesday: Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.8699

Thursday: Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.8747

Friday: Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.8838

good news

Why does the price of old geese skyrocket

Yangzhou Old Goose was only 50 yuan per kilogram more than a year ago, but now its price has skyrocketed. The selling prices of various old goose stalls have reached 58 to 62 yuan per kilogram. Some netizens jokingly said that the old goose has become "unaffordable".

Zhang Yupeng, the owner of Huangjue Old Goose, is the inheritor of Yangzhou Old Goose's intangible cultural heritage. He said, "The price increase of goose seedlings and feed has led to the price increase of live geese, which is the main reason for the soaring price of Yangzhou salted geese."

Zhang Yupeng said,"Previously, the price of goose eggs was 5 to 6 yuan per egg, but now it has increased to 11 to 12 yuan per egg. In the past, when the growth period of geese reached 90 days, 150 days, and more than a year, geese owners were busy selling finished geese, but now they keep them laying eggs, which has led to a shortage of geese and high prices on the market."

It is understood that factors such as high prices of young geese and feed have led to a decrease in the number of people raising geese. The decrease in goose production and the need for geese to continue laying eggs have further led to the phenomenon of "scarcity is more expensive" on the market.

Zhang Yupeng analyzed, "Currently, it is the peak period for mother geese to lay eggs. It is expected that in 20 days, some finished geese will be released, and the price will slightly increase."

He continued, "However, due to the decrease in goose raw materials on the market and the current empty inventory of slaughterhouses in Shandong, Northeast and other places, they will also purchase a large amount of goods to replenish the warehouse. Therefore, the future price trend is not yet clear."

Customers in the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area have become an important consumer group of goose down

Jilin Bailing Down Products Co., Ltd. is the leading enterprise of Shulan in the "Goose City". Zhang Yubao, the general manager of the company, introduced that Shulan's white goose down is a high-quality raw material. He said, "For over 20 years, goose down has been very popular in overseas markets."

In the past decade, with the continuous development of China's economy, the level of public consumption has been increasing year by year. Goose down, known as the "down gold", has been sought after by more consumers. "At this time, we also focused 70% of our business focus on the domestic market, "Zhang Yubao believes. The down market is undergoing profound changes.

Customers from the Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Greater Bay Area have become an important consumer group for goose down. Zhang Yubao said, "The market south of the Yangtze River is now very good, and the sales of high-end goose down quilts are growing rapidly."

The white goose industry is experiencing a "supply and demand boom". Shulan, the "Goose City", has formulated a breeding plan for 3 million birds per year, 10 million birds per two years, and 30 million birds per three years. Jiangsu, Liaoning, Heilongjiang and other provinces with advantages in goose industry development have begun to pay attention to Shulan, and many goose enterprises have started to connect with Shulan.

Expectations for April are optimistic, and domestic demand may shift towards autumn and winter clothing

March is coming to an end, and a beautiful April is approaching. Through visits and research, it was found that the textile market was active in March, and this trend may continue in April.

Manager Wu, who specializes in outdoor functional fabrics, said, "Recently, there has been a lot of hoarding by intermediaries, especially those in stock. They are mainly preparing for the second half of the year. At the same time, many manufacturers are selling in large quantities, and spot enterprises have taken the opportunity to stock up."

April is still the traditional peak season and a good opportunity for textile enterprises to take orders. Domestic demand continues to release, and currently the main focus is on spring and summer orders, with a shift towards thicker autumn and winter clothing in April.

According to statistics from the General Administration of Customs, since February, the overall trend of China's imports and exports has been improving, especially with a significant increase in late February. Monitoring of relevant leading indicators shows that this positive trend is expected to continue.

Anhui white geese are experiencing a peak period of emergence, and the market is in short supply this year

The white goose in western Anhui is an excellent medium-sized goose species in China, with large plumage and pure white feathers, making it an important export material. January to May each year is the time to cultivate young geese, and now is the first peak period.

In recent days, various breeding factories in Guzhen Town have been bustling with activity, and goose farmers from all over the country have come to buy white goose seedlings.

This year's goose seedlings are particularly tight. I ordered 4000, but today I only received 1000. Now I need to book them in advance for 40 yuan each, and many people are rushing to buy goose seedlings here, "said a farmer who came to buy goose seedlings.

The market for goose seedlings this year is very good. Live streaming and sales have opened up new sales channels, allowing farmers to taste the sweetness. Many people have expanded the scale of breeding, and this year's development situation is good. Many white goose farmers from other places have also come to us to purchase goose seedlings, "said Jiang Weijun, the head of Anhui Zhanyu Ecological Agriculture Development Co., Ltd.

The person in charge introduced that in recent years, the breeding technology of white goose improved breeds has become mature and the equipment is complete. The company has achieved unified incubation, unified emergence, and unified epidemic prevention. The incubation volume of white goose eggs has reached more than 3 million, which can provide more farmers with high-quality goose seedlings.

However, the market is in short supply this year. He said, "The sales are mainly in Lu'an City, scattered to Yingshang County and Funan County, as well as five counties in Henan Province. Large households in these areas are all coming to purchase seedlings. Our next step is to protect and develop the varieties of Wanxi white geese well."

bad news

The supply pressure of duck seedlings will significantly decrease in April

In the first quarter, the upstream supply of white feather meat ducks was tight, and under the high investment cost, the entire chain operated at a high level, entering a stage of good profitability. 1. February is still in the recovery period of capacity depletion, and the rapid increase in prices of egg and duck seedlings is subject to industry attention. We are about to enter the second quarter, what are the trends on all sides?

According to Mysteel's market research on agricultural products, as the supply side enters April, the pressure on the supply of egg seedlings nationwide will significantly decrease, and it is expected that the supply will increase significantly in the middle and late stages. At present, the national production of duck seedlings is still recovering. Considering that downstream manufacturers are under pressure to ship in the early stages of the year, the enthusiasm for launching is not high, and it is expected that the average price of duck seedlings will remain stable with some decline.

Muji Ryo plans to discontinue the production of down jackets from Myanmar by August

Some large clothing retail companies have decided to stop purchasing from Myanmar due to the military's governance and unstable market environment.

Marks&Spencer in the UK and Fast Retailing in Japan have decided to stop their OEM business in Myanmar, and low-cost clothing brand Primark has also announced its withdrawal from Myanmar. The Good Products Program, which operates the "Muji Good Products," also plans to stop producing down jackets and other products from Myanmar before August.

Frequent power outages and logistics stagnation have also become risks in delivery time management. A person from a Japanese clothing company said, "Myanmar has a large population and is easy to recruit employees, but the disadvantage is the unstable power infrastructure. The shortage of imported fuel due to foreign currency shortages has also become a problem.

Due to its high price competitiveness, according to statistical data, Myanmar's clothing export momentum is very strong, but many emerging countries adjacent to the country also have advantages in the clothing industry.

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