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Weekly Quotes | Sales of high-end down bedding products are gratifying, and the price of white goose down rises accordingly / fabric orders are weakening, there may be a wave of market before the Spring Festival

2021-11-22 来源：羽绒金网浏览量：2734

summary

Last week's "Double Eleven", although the sales of down jackets were not as optimistic as expected, the sales of high-end down bedding products were very gratifying. Correspondingly, the white goose raw materials have a slight increase in price due to the reduction in inventory.

The weather forecast will have a strong cold air going south, and the cooling effect may be stronger than the upper wave cold wave, and the range of influence will not be inferior.Weather analysts reminded that after this cooling down, the chill will last longer, and the cold air will start the "unlimited combo" mode, which will cause successive effects. The weather is getting colder, I believe the market will continue to improve.

Another factor that will have a lasting impact on the market is the avian flu. At present, the avian flu has a tendency of violent spread in South Korea and Japan.Since October last year, Japan and South Korea have culled more than 20 million poultry, which has caused the prices of related products to continue to rise and the two countries have also reduced their down imports.

Monday:Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.3896

Tuesday:Price rise of white goose down

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.3924

Wednesday: Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.3935

Thursday: Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.3803

Friday: Prices of all categories are flat

Exchange rate of USD to RMB: 6.3825

good news

A nationwide cooling will begin, and it will be colder than the last wave of cold

After two weeks, another nationwide cold air process will affect our country. With the combination of the Siberian Arctic vortex and the Central Asian low vortex, the most powerful cold air accumulated in the interior of Asia will begin to slowly descend southward.

Weather analysts pointed out that the cooling effect of the cold air this time may be stronger than that of the last wave, and the scope of influence is not inferior. Fortunately, after the cold wave, the temperature will not be low for a long time, and then the temperature will continue to rise, and the temperature in most of the country will be close to normal on the 25th.

The northeast blizzard that has been repeatedly reminded has been in full swing, and the subsequent small to medium snow will continue until the 26th. Due to the last strong snowfall, almost the entire northeast of this round of snowfall began to have snow cover, and the local snow cover in Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang even exceeded 30 cm; the early "high starting point" + heavy snow assists, Heilongjiang, Jilin Many places are expected to set new snow depth records for November and even throughout the year.

The U.S. seeks to reduce some of China’s tariffs

On November 16, 2021, the onshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar rose above the 6.37 mark, the highest since June 1. On the same day, the US dollar index hit an intraday high of 95.6, a 16-month high.

In the context of the continued strength of the US dollar, the RMB exchange rate index rose instead of falling? Since 2020, the U.S. price index has continued to rise. The Fed once hoped that inflation was a temporary phenomenon, but it seems that it is increasingly likely to turn into a long-term phenomenon.

On November 14, CBS broadcasted an interview with Yellen. Yellen said that the reduction or exemption of trade tariffs with China can help ease the recent rise in prices in the United States, and that additional tariffs will indeed increase domestic product prices. She acknowledged that the requirement to reduce tariffs in certain areas is "something we are considering."

On November 9, 2021 local time, the US USTR issued a notice stating that the expiration date for the exclusion of new crown protective products originating in China was originally scheduled to expire on November 14, 2021. Now it is decided to extend the expiration date of the exclusion of 99 protective products to Expires on November 30, 2021.

And decided to extend the expiration date of 81 products out of 99 items on November 30, 2021, for another 6 months, that is, until May 31, 2022. Among them, 13 textile and clothing product tax numbers are involved, as shown in the following table:

But this means that 18 of the products will resume 301 tariffs after the expiration of the exclusion period on November 30, 2021.

This part includes the currently popular export textile masks, some hand sanitizers, disposable gloves and other products in China, and it involves 18 textile and clothing product tax numbers. See the table below for details:

Avian influenza outbreaks in many countries have occurred one after another, and large numbers of poultry and birds have been culled

After the winter, bird flu began to spread in some countries in the northern hemisphere, especially in some countries related to the down industry. This situation may have a positive impact on the domestic down market.

On November 5 and 8, 2021, 5 cases were detected in eastern Poland, of which 4 were found in a turkey farm, 1 was found in a broiler farm, and the other cases were in western Poland A turkey and goose farm found that nearly 650,000 poultry were affected.

On November 10, a highly pathogenic avian influenza broke out in Akita Prefecture, Japan. This is the first time that a highly pathogenic avian influenza virus has been found in chickens from chicken farms in Akita Prefecture. It is also the first avian influenza incident in Japan this winter.

On November 16, a chicken farm in Himeji City, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan, reported that "there were more dead chickens than usual". After genetic testing, a bird flu virus of "H5 subtype" was detected. In just 6 days, 4 poultry avian flu outbreaks have been reported in Japan.

The British "Mirror" reported on the 13th that there have been multiple outbreaks of highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza in the UK in the past few days, and a farm in Lancashire is the latest outbreak site. The British Ministry of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs has ordered all poultry on this farm to be culled.

On the 13th, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Livestock and Foodstuffs of South Korea stated that another duck farm in Naju City, South Jeolla Province, has tested highly pathogenic avian influenza virus. In just one week, three bird flu epidemics occurred in South Korea one after another, which aroused the attention of the society.

It is understood that there are 230 farms in South Jeolla Province where the incident occurred, raising approximately 4.3 million ducks, accounting for more than 70% of the Korean duck meat market. Yesterday, South Korea’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, Livestock and Food issued a 36-hour mobile ban on all duck farms in Jeollanam-do.

Many people in South Korea are worried that the bird flu epidemic is likely to have spread rapidly across the country, causing the retail prices of related products to rise sharply. At present, South Korea has raised the bird flu crisis alert level to the highest level "serious".

bad news

The epidemic situation in Europe is severe, and many countries urgently restart restrictive measures

The European continent has once again become the epicenter of the global epidemic. The WHO said that in the past week, the infection rate of the entire European continent has increased by 7%, with an average daily increase of 4031 patients, which is an increase of 10% from a week ago and an increase of 18% from two weeks ago. . Since the beginning of November, more than half of the world's new cases have been in Europe, and some governments are restarting restrictions.

From the Baltic Sea to the Mediterranean, many European countries are preparing to adopt stricter winter measures. The Netherlands, which has vaccinated 73% of the population, became the first Western European country to resume partial blockade measures on Saturday.

Austria, where 65% of the population was vaccinated, began to block all those who were not vaccinated after midnight on Sunday; Germany, where 67% of the population was vaccinated, had the worst daily infections so far. The new draft legislation shows , The government is preparing to resume working at home and implement the vaccine pass; nearly 69% of the French population has been vaccinated with two doses and is pushing for booster injections.

Countries in the European region have different vaccination schedules. Currently, only 8 countries have achieved 70% vaccination rates. In Romania, where the vaccination rate is less than 40%, there were 2,426 new deaths in the last week. Romania is also one of the countries with the highest mortality rate in the European region. Romanian health experts say that the area is facing a shortage of medicines, critically ill beds and a shortage of medical staff.

Kluge, director of the WHO European Office, said that following this trend, it is expected that by February next year, there may be 500,000 new deaths from the new crown in Europe. What is particularly worrying is that European countries have increased the positive rate of virus testing and the risk of repeated infections.

Down jacket fabric orders are weakening, there may be a wave of market before the Spring Festival

Last month, the grey cloth market was filled with the sound of rising prices one after another. "Last month because of the sudden improvement in the market, the 300T pongee fabric reached 2.6 yuan/meter at its highest, but now it is only 1.9 yuan/meter." said a textile boss in Shengze.

Nisi spinning is the grey fabric with the largest fluctuations. Take 380T nylon spinning as an example, it rose to 5.2 yuan/meter at the highest in October, and now it has fallen only 3.8 yuan/meter. Some textile netizens joked that those with a bad heart should never do nylon spinning. It's really not fake at all.

Mr. Zeng, who specializes in Chun Yafan, said: "The order now is not very good, but I believe that the next market will go well! There will be a wave of orders at the end of this year."

Mr. Lin, who specializes in nylon, said to us: "The order is currently average, and it should be better next. There will be another market before years ago."

The "Double Eleven" e-commerce season has ended, and there are currently two months left before the Spring Festival. As usual, there will be a wave of orders placed before the Spring Festival, especially the foreign trade market will usher in a small climax. However, in the past two years, affected by the epidemic, the foreign trade market has been slow for a long time, and it is still unknown whether it will recover this year.

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